Lottery Techniques – How to Calculate the Expected Value of a Lottery Prize

Lottery is a form of gambling in which players pay to try and win a prize based on random chance. Historically, governments have used lotteries to raise money for public works projects such as roads and bridges, and also to fund education and other charitable activities. In colonial-era America, lotteries were a popular way to finance buildings at Harvard and Yale, and George Washington even sponsored a lottery to raise money for the construction of a road across the Blue Ridge Mountains. In modern times, state and federal governments increasingly rely on lotteries to raise funds for their various programs, despite the fact that the chances of winning are extremely slim. People who have won big prizes like cars, furniture, or motorcycles often find that the prize money is a source of serious financial problems for them and their families.

The problem with lottery is that it’s regressive: it benefits richer people more than poorer ones, and the very poor, those in the bottom quintile of income distribution, simply don’t have enough discretionary cash to spend on tickets. That’s why it’s important to understand the underlying mathematics of lottery, and to try to develop techniques that can help people make informed decisions about whether or not they should play.

One such technique is the expected value of a ticket, which calculates how much you’d get if you bought every ticket in the lottery and the prize pool was invested in an annuity for three decades. This figure is generally lower than the current jackpot because it takes into account the profits of lottery promoters and other costs, but it’s a useful tool for comparing different games.